Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.065098 2.391525 2.750478 3.174176 3.660334 4.200427 4.845684
2025-02-23 1.515710 1.918295 2.399289 3.015206 3.781876 4.703690 5.895172
2025-03-02 1.133321 1.551584 2.089216 2.828613 3.816658 5.088851 6.848599
2025-03-09 0.922841 1.355503 1.949130 2.818983 4.056520 5.748752 8.232575
2025-03-16 0.743604 1.165101 1.778979 2.732021 4.167186 6.239139 9.446905
2025-03-23 0.664925 1.103898 1.778244 2.880425 4.625886 7.269451 11.558693
2025-03-30 0.588668 1.031346 1.745862 2.970565 5.002081 8.217053 13.661957
2025-04-06 0.510521 0.941083 1.669183 2.974155 5.234760 8.961805 15.530651
2025-04-13 0.421175 0.815605 1.513333 2.818865 5.176634 9.219269 16.620722
2025-04-20 0.383547 0.776575 1.500643 2.908923 5.548999 10.237020 19.116219
2025-04-27 0.358547 0.756890 1.519133 3.056121 6.039200 11.511019 22.204926
2025-05-04 0.326829 0.718513 1.496137 3.119877 6.378681 12.545992 24.967910
2025-05-11 0.293272 0.672417 1.454348 3.146935 6.662896 13.533464 27.805092
2025-05-18 0.253696 0.606791 1.363343 3.061082 6.711019 14.074431 29.845368
2025-05-25 0.214924 0.536060 1.250621 2.912174 6.607144 14.298302 31.272632
2025-06-01 0.194001 0.503042 1.215143 2.926208 6.851522 15.260188 34.334921
2025-06-08 0.169680 0.457499 1.144343 2.849803 6.885635 15.781774 36.520778
2025-06-15 0.163098 0.455265 1.174470 3.012884 7.484117 17.591113 41.724750
2025-06-22 0.153240 0.442803 1.177971 3.112184 7.945878 19.147563 46.536202
2025-06-29 0.139560 0.417639 1.146039 3.118989 8.185965 20.225268 50.368874
2025-07-06 0.119723 0.371704 1.053718 2.958125 7.990556 20.263155 51.759088
2025-07-13 0.113237 0.363045 1.058747 3.053491 8.456692 21.933888 57.267550
2025-07-20 0.109530 0.362027 1.084469 3.208353 9.097190 24.100714 64.233315